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I write mainly about forecasting, politics, and technology. I’m interested both in what will happen and how we can know what will happen.

I’d love it if you replied to this email to introduce yourself. I’d love to hear how you found my substack, what you’re interested in, and what you’d like to see me cover. I may not have a chance to reply to every email, but I will read what you send me.

If you’re new to my work, you can check out my posts on American unilateralism (“New Year, New World Order”), the rapid pace of developments in AI (“Something Big”), whether the Democrats can retake the Senate (“Could the Democrats Retake the Senate?”), Donald Trump as a Hegelian hero (“End of an Era”), and my recovery from a pair of strokes (“Climbing Koko Crater”). You can also browse the full post archives here.

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Robert de Neufville

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