mailwal

🎛️ Set the budget rules before the holiday rush.

MarTech
Nov 02, 2026

It’s the first business day in November and Black Friday/Cyber Monday is staring at you like the barrel of a gun. If you’re waiting until then to figure out whether your media is incremental, you’re shooting yourself in the foot. Kevin Dugan says you need to set up the test before spend spikes. That way you’ll know what to hold back, what to compare, and what result would actually change the plan.

Also today … Marketers like to talk about their success with AI, but research shows few of them can give any proof. The solution, as I explain here, is deciding what success looks like before launch, capturing the baseline, and making sure the result is something you can prove later.

Constantine von Hoffman
Constantine von Hoffman
Senior Editor, MarTech

P.S. The November MarTech Conference is coming up fast. Join us Nov. 4 for a day of learning from marketers in the trenches doing the work. It’s free and online. Check out the agenda and register today.

In This Edition
→
Set the budget rules before the holiday rush
→
More media won’t rescue tired creative
→
AI success needs a baseline, not a victory lap
→
What we’re reading
Bring your toughest marketing challenges. Leave with a game plan.
Ready to dig into the search and AI challenges keeping you up at night, learn from experts who know the terrain, and trade perspectives with peers who are tackling the same problems? Join your community for SMX Advanced’s 20th anniversary in San Diego, March 17–19, 2027, at the Marriott Marquis San Diego Marina. Come ready to question the status quo and leave with a sharper plan to drive measurable results.
Marketing attribution

Kevin Dugan details how holdout tests isolate true channel incrementality before high-stakes holiday ad spending begins.

Your next move should be to run regional or audience suppression tests early to ensure you only fund channels driving net-new sales.

Take these steps to prepare for this shift:

  • Establish baseline control groups by withholding exposure from 20% to 30% of target audiences.
  • Test coupon and affiliate partners first, as last-click models heavily over-credit their conversion impact.
  • Run tests for four to eight weeks prior to peak season to lock tracking.
Search Advertising

Akvile DeFazio deconstructs why throwing high ad volumes at declining paid social performance fails without meaningful message variation.

This serves as your cue to overhaul asset development by feeding ad algorithms diverse creative hypotheses rather than minor visual tweaks.

Take these steps to prepare for this shift:

  • Group ad creative by distinct messaging concepts rather than slight visual variations.
  • Target varied buyer personas and motivations to give platforms new audience optimization signals.
  • Scale creative testing volume deliberately based on your available ad spend and objectives.
MarTechCharts

Constantine von Hoffman exposes the critical baseline gap preventing marketing teams from proving true financial returns on AI initiatives.

A smart next step is to establish pre-launch performance benchmarks so you can defend your automation investments to leadership.

Take these steps to prepare for this shift:

  • Record clear baseline metrics across cost, time, and resolution before deploying AI tools.
  • Connect platform engagement data to CRM and financial systems to track real ROI.
  • Define explicit business thresholds that will determine whether to scale or stop.
Sponsored by Semrush

Join Search Influence’s Will Scott to learn how to optimize your website for AI engines. Discover practical Generative Engine Optimization tactics that make content easier for AI systems to understand, retrieve, and cite—without relying on guesswork or generic advice.

  • Optimize pages using entities, semantic triples, and direct answers.
  • Evaluate existing site content to spot and prioritize critical gaps.
  • Master actionable tools and techniques for immediate AI visibility.
Customer experience

Customer trust and shared control shape effective AI adoption without sacrificing retention.

Applying this strategy allows you to balance automated execution with visible human overrides during high-friction buying decisions.

Take these steps to prepare for this shift:

  • Deploy AI specifically at points of heavy choice overload or decision fatigue.
  • Build seamless contextual memory across customer touchpoints before scaling complex personalization.
  • Include clear human overrides and reversible actions alongside all automated customer workflows.
Salesforce

Constantine von Hoffman deconstructs Salesforce’s acquisition of Braze and its massive ripple effects across real-time execution, pricing models, and vendor lock-in.

Shift your focus toward protecting operational agility and contract terms as enterprise martech continues to consolidate execution capabilities.

Here’s what this market consolidation means for your stack:

  • Consolidates real-time mobile execution inside enterprise CDPs, pressuring standalone point solutions.
  • Reduces buyer negotiating leverage by removing a key independent enterprise alternative.
  • Accelerates a shift from predictable contract seats toward consumption-based pricing risks.
B2B marketing

Andrea Cruz details how the collapse of traditional MQLs and last-click attribution is forcing B2B strategy toward trust and revenue.

A smart next step is to pivot your performance engine away from gated lead generation toward early brand trust.

Take these steps to prepare for this shift:

  • Replace MQL lead scoring with pipeline velocity and algorithmic citation metrics.
  • Build authoritative executive content to capture autonomous buyers early in their journey.
  • Pool campaign budgets by target account segment rather than isolated channel silos.
Sponsored by Braze

Loyalty sign-ups don’t guarantee engagement. Exclusive research from Braze shows brands often misunderstand what drives customer retention—42% of consumers feel unnoticed when they stop engaging. Join us to separate loyalty myths from data and learn what truly keeps customers active.

  • Capture real loyalty beyond basic program sign-ups.
  • Drive repeat purchases without relying on massive discount offers.
  • Personalize engagement using AI while maintaining customer trust.
Upcoming Events
AI isn't just changing how you market. It's changing how marketing works.
Online
November 4, 2026
Free Tools
Is there anything better than a helpful tool you can use for free?
Reddit Traffic Finder
Find Reddit discussions driving traffic and identify engagement opportunities.
CPC Calculator
Find your average Cost Per Click instantly.
What else we're reading
Good reads and conversations to help good marketers get better
Solve your SEO & PPC challenges.
Try Semrush for 14 days... for free!
Semrush

Spread the marketing love. Copy and share this link.

Reach the MarTech community. Learn about advertising/sponsorship here.
Safelist us. To ensure delivery to your inbox, add us to your address book.
This email was sent to [subscriber].
Š 2026 MarTech.org is a Trademark of Semrush Inc.
This email was sent by MarTech - a Third Door Media publication with headquarters at 800 Boylston Street, Suite 2475, Boston, MA USA 02199