Cracks emerge in data centers' gas buildout
OCTOBER 28, 2026 | This week in the newsletter: The problems with onsite gas for data centers, Anthropic's first IPO filing, and a defense of distributed capacity's premium price tag.
CATHERINE BOUDREAU | Cracks are emerging in the rush to build out on-site gas power for massive data centers. Literally.
We've been hearing stories about large power providers and EPCs fielding a growing volume of calls from data center developers that are blowing gas-fired turbines, and need help fixing mechanical failures because they lack their own operations and maintenance expertise.
Meanwhile, projects that lean into behind-the-meter gas plants are vulnerable to fuel price shocks and pipeline constraints — risks that Anthropic detailed in its highly anticipated IPO filing this week. The company is shifting toward building its own data centers, including a $50 billion investment in Texas and New York, after years of leasing compute from hyperscalers and neoclouds. That means Anthropic is competing for firm gas capacity and transported fuel, which is expected to further drive up prices at a time when U.S. gas exports are already in high demand due to President Donald Trump’s war with Iran and the bottlenecks in the Strait of Hormuz.
The company only briefly mentioned clean energy like solar, wind, battery storage, nuclear, and geothermal, stating that it “may not be available in the quantities or on the timelines we require, or may be available only at higher cost.”
Despite the red flags, the race to build onsite gas shows no signs of slowing down. Cleanview this month estimated there are 110 gigawatts of onsite gas projects underway, up from 20 GWs last summer. Hyperscalers want to get data centers online as quickly as possible to start cashing in on their trillion-dollar infrastructure investment, and yearslong delays to hook up to the grid aren’t cutting it. That means building gigawatts of onsite power with even higher levels of reliability than a typical power plant, because data centers operate 24/7.
So far this year, there's been several reports of data centers’ onsite power equipment malfunctioning. Gas turbines cracked at small projects in the U.K. and at xAI’s much larger Colossus campus in Memphis, Tenn., Bloombergreported. xAI deployed Tesla batteries to absorb large power swings. The Stargate project in Abilene, Texas, developed by Crusoe, has also run into technical problems with backup gas turbines and cooling equipment, The Information reported. A Vantage VA2 data center in Loudon County, Va. had a “critical power failure” this summer at its onsite gas turbine plant, and had to switch to backup diesel generators for nearly 24 hours, WUSA9 reported. Locals complained about noise and air pollution.
These kinds of issues often stem from the unique power demands of AI workloads, which can trigger megawatt-level fluctuations within milliseconds that stress equipment, according to industry research and interviews with power developers. To smooth out those spikes and secure enough electricity, developers are increasingly combining on-site gas and storage — either with limited or no grid connections — as well as adding UPS systems inside the data center that protect IT hardware from voltage swings.
Harmonizing all those complex systems requires a level of experience few project developers have, not to mention dedicated O&M teams that can quickly solve equipment failures once a site is up and running.
“Are there enough electrical contractors and HVAC technicians to build these campuses? That’s a big challenge,” Jon Parella, CEO and co-founder of TerraFlow Energy, which makes long-duration flow batteries for the power grid, told Latitude Media. “Then you need mechanics who know how to fix and maintain gas engines, and service them on an annual basis.”
Sheldon Kimber, CEO and founder of Intersect, a power developer acquired by Google in late 2025, told Latitude Media it’s “absolutely absurd” how many inexperienced teams are getting into the game and that the pipeline is crowded “largely with trash.” There aren’t many companies that can deliver BTM power plants at gigawatt scale.
“I get emails all day from people who are like, ‘I've got this patch of dirt in Texas with gas, and I’ve had good conversations with folks who have gas turbines. You’re with Google, do you want the data center?’ Congratulations. That’s like half of Texas,” Kimber said.
He said some of these teams are showing up at town meetings with a data center pitch, which hurts companies like Intersect that’s built behind-the-meter renewable plus gas plants and negotiated community benefits for a decade.
To make projects more seamless, Google and Intersect are integrating data centers and power plant designs that reflect the tech giant’s bespoke AI models and IT equipment. That way, the facility can be more energy efficient, reliable, and cost less money, Kimber said. The companies have so far announced two joint projects in Texas powered largely by solar, wind, batteries, and some gas backup, but didn’t disclose their size.
SpaceX, which acquired xAI this year, is similarly considering more vertical integration, although Elon Musk pitched it as a speed-to-power play rather than solving equipment glitches at data centers. During a third-quarter earnings call, Musk said he expects SpaceX to add at least 10 GW of compute in 2027, supported in part by its own in-house gas turbine blade and vane casting. That could help shore up its turbine supply 12 to 18 months faster than competitors, he said.
“We’re looking at many different sources of power, not just gas turbines. We obviously want to use solar, wind, and every other source of power that we can obtain,” Musk said, adding that the company also sees an opportunity in modular inference compute — or much smaller data centers built in a factory and distributed globally.
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MAEVE ALLSUP | The broad pitch for leveraging distributed capacity is that coordinating batteries and flexible electricity demand can help meet peak power needs faster and cheaper than building new grid infrastructure.
But at Flex Summit in Austin earlier this month, Pier LaFarge, co-founder and CEO of distributed energy infrastructure company Sparkfund, leaned into the opposite framing: distributed capacity is “more expensive, harder, and slower,” he told the audience. It’s a premium product that requires a premium buyer.
That challenges the industry’s usual sales pitch. But building quickly at the scale needed to support a data center is a step change from the small deployments most of the industry is working on right now, LaFarge said. A single distributed project may be quicker to build, but the real test is whether the industry can add capacity faster overall than centralized generation.
As for the question of price, the energy industry is accustomed to “winning and losing based on cheaper or more expensive,” LaFarge said. That creates a knee-jerk reaction to talk about distributed megawatts as if they’re more affordable, he explained. But that will ultimately do more harm than good, leading to “a lot of confusion in terms of why people should care about this.”
More News
*New York Times | Meta and SpaceX are raising billions more cash to fund their AI ambitions. This week, Meta announced it could raise up to $95 billion from selling stock and SpaceX said it had closed a $40 billion debt round to pay for the chips it needed for its data centers.
POLITICO | Less than a year before Texas Gov. Greg Abbott cracked down on data center development, his appointees and staff were actively trying to bring projects to the state. Records obtained by POLITICO show that on December 16, 2025, representatives from a handful of AI hyperscalers were “confirmed” to meet with Abbott’s team, joined by Texas’ head electricity regulator and grid manager to discuss building out the state’s power grid.
Utility Dive | Some utilities are turning to AI to manage rising power demand — from AI. Most use cases are niche tools designed to support human decision-making on topics like load forecasting and vegetation management.
Latitude Media | Google is funding a one-gigawatt virtual power plant in the Mid-Atlantic to bring its data centers in the region online faster. The deal is an expanded bring your own capacity contract with Voltus, building on the more than 100 megawatts the aggregator has already developed on Google’s behalf in PJM.
MIT Technology Review | Researchers and companies are looking to modernize transformers in order to meet rising power demand from data centers, electric vehicles, and other customers. New, solid-state versions could help relieve some of the supply concerns and make sure the grid can handle the growing pressure.
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Recommended Podcasts
Open Circuit | AI bubble fears are derailing energy IPOs. Holtec, The Nuclear Company, SB Energy, and Form Energy have all shelved plans to go public this year.
Catalyst with Shayle Kann | Olya Irzak, founder and CEO of Frost Methane Labs, unpacks the methane emissions in gas-powered data centers.
The Wall Street Journal | Reporter Anissa Gardyza previewed Anthropic's IPO filing, including soaring revenue, a business reliant on a few customers, and a long list of risks.
Events and Resources
Transition-AI is returning to San Francisco on March 22–24, 2027. Fill out the form to receive a special early bird discount when registration opens in November.
On Wednesday, November 11, RMI will be hosting a webinar, AI for Good – Scaled Solutions for Planet Earth. RMI CEO Jon Creyts will join this panel that brings together leading experts to examine how machine learning is moving from experimental promise to real planetary impact, from global grid networks and sustainable finance to climate adaptation and satellite-driven monitoring.
Ahead of this year’s United Nations COP31 climate summit, Turkey has launched the Antalya Artificial Intelligence Pledge, aiming to inspire global leaders to use AI to help address climate change.
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